The US inflation today, April 13, is 1.84%, up from 1.26% at the beginning of the month. Multiple categories experienced a re-acceleration in inflation in April. * Gasoline and fuel costs * Clothing * Recreation (event tickets, subscriptions, and services) * Household goods * Other lodgings (like short stays) * Education * and Communication The

The headline US inflation (CPI) came in at 3.3% YoY, up 0.9% from 2.4% in February, and in line with Truflation's prediction of 3.3%. The Truflation forecast of 3.3% for March CPI was shared with our subscribers 2 days ahead of the official

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index edged higher to 91.8 in March (from 91.0), beating expectations of 87.8. This marks the second consecutive modest gain in consumer confidence. However, the index remains on a general downward trajectory observed since 2021 and sits well below pre-pandemic averages Despite

Today, the BLS released its revised Productivity & Costs report for Q4 2025 (Revised) and 2025 Annual Averages. Nonfarm business sector rose 1.8% annualized in Q4 2025 (down from the preliminary 2.8% estimate), as real output grew 1.5% while hours worked edged down 0.2%. Year-over-year, productivity

The FOMC left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% (11-1 vote) on March 18, as anticipated by the markets. The decision passed with most members in favor. Only Stephen Miran voted to lower the target range by 25 basis points. The FOMC statement noted solid economic