Truflation

Basic

Truflation March Inflation Report & BLS CPI Prediction

Economic Overview Economic growth slowed more than expected in the final quarter of 2025. GDP rose just 0.7% in Q4, down from the initial estimate of 1.4% and a sharp deceleration from the 4.4% expansion in Q3. The slowdown was largely driven by a prolonged government shutdown,

Reports

Truflation as a Leading Indicator of the Official BLS CPI Inflation Measure

This is an updated report based on the latest regression analysis by the Truflation data team.  1. Introduction Truflation provides a high-frequency, data-driven measure of inflation designed to reflect real-time price dynamics across the economy. Traditional measures such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), published by the U.S Bureau

Macro News

Get Ready for the US CPI Release. Your Edge Is Here

This week is all about inflation, with the upcoming February PCE and March CPI being released April 9 and 10, respectively. With the next official BLS CPI just around the corner, Truflation has you covered with our exclusive monthly report containing the much-coveted BLS CPI forecast. The report drops T-1

Macro News

Truflation Launches an Independent Benchmark for U.S. Pay Inflation

Truflation is proud to announce the official release of the Truflation U.S. Pay Index (TruPay-US Index), a next-generation measure of pay growth across the American labor market. Designed as a timely and transparent alternative to traditional wage indicators, the TruPay-US Index tracks overall pay inflation by combining wage growth

Macro News

Has your salary kept pace with inflation? Check with Truflation Calculator

If you’ve felt like your paycheck doesn’t go as far as it used to, you can now quickly and easily check for yourself. Introducing: the Truflation Salary Inflation Calculator, an easy-to-use tool that shows you exactly what your salary should be today vs when you started earning it.

Macro News

Truflation Starter Package & Credits

We're thrilled to announce an evolution in how you access Truflation's real-time, institutional-grade inflation and economic data. Starting this week, we're rolling out an enhanced pricing structure designed to give you more flexibility, better value, and the power to scale exactly as your needs

Exclusive

Truflation Updated 2026 CPI Weights

The Truflation Data Team just released our annual CPI weighting update. The new relative importance weights for the 2026 TruCPI-US Inflation Index are derived from 2025 household spending patterns, ensuring the index continues to mirror actual consumer spending with precision and timeliness. Where are the CPI relative importance weights derived

Macro News

Truflation Releases Updated 2026 CPI Weights to Match Consumer Expenditures

The Truflation Data Team just released our annual CPI weighting update. The new relative importance weights for the 2026 TruCPI-US Inflation Index are derived from 2025 household spending patterns, ensuring the index continues to mirror actual consumer spending with precision and timeliness. Implications for Market Participants These recalibrated weights offer

Macro News

Gas Prices Continue to Put Inflationary Pressure on Consumers

The surge in gas prices continued inflationary pressure on Truflation CPI. It will be interesting to see whether that pressure already shows up in the March BLS CPI due on the 10th of April. As of today, gas prices have increased 30% over the past month, which is feeding directly

Macro News

Oil Shock Effects on Consumer Inflation and Truflation Gasoline Index.

Geopolitical escalation in the Middle East, triggered by US-Israeli strikes on Iran commencing February 28, 2026, has produced the largest oil supply disruption on record. Oil prices were gradually rising even before that, from mid-December, due to global tensions and increased seasonal demand. Now, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reports

Product Updates

Truflation Releases the US Gasoline Index.

We're thrilled to announce the launch of the new Truflation Gasoline Index, which aggregates gasoline prices at the pump and provides national, regional, and state-level data for deeper analysis of this important inflation-driving category. Go to Gasoline Index This index release is particularly relevant at the moment, given

Macro News

Truflation Data Shift Alert - March 12, 2026

We have registered 2 major upwards shift in inflation this week: Today, March 12, Truflation US CPI jumped from 1.08% to 1.21%. This move has been driven solely by rising gasoline prices. Average national gasoline prices at the pump rose by 5.7% YoY, from 6.64% to

Product Updates

Truflation Credit System: Explore Economic Data Your Way.

We're thrilled to announce the launch of a new credit-based Truflation data model that will enable more users to explore our premium features on a pay-per-use basis, making it more accessible. For a limited time, you can now claim your 1200 free credits and jump right into exploring

Basic

Truflation BLS CPI Forecast and US Monthly Inflation Report - February 2026.

February 2026 Economic Overview U.S. economic growth slowed more than expected at the end of 2025 as a government shutdown weighed on spending and investment. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annualized rate of 1.4% in Q4 2025,

Product Updates

Truflation expands data coverage for its flagship inflation indexes.

Your real-time, on-chain inflation data just got even stronger.  We're excited to announce enhancements to the Truflation index with new high-quality data providers across three key categories. These ongoing expansions to our data coverage improve data breadth and index resilience while reducing potential biases, delivering even more accurate,

Reports

Truflation as a Leading Indicator of the Official US Inflation.

Empirical Evidence of Signal Lead and Regime-Dependent Dynamics Author: Rodrigo Calderón. Date: March 2025. Last Updated: November 2025 Abstract This overview quantifies and explains Truflation’s systematic lead over the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index (CPI). Using daily Truflation data and monthly US BLS CPI data

Basic

Truflation: US Monthly Inflation Report - January 2026.

Executive Summary The U.S. economy continues to show notable resilience, entering 2026 on a firm footing. Fourth quarter growth remained solid, driven by strong consumer demand, AI-related investment, and high productivity gains, following a robust 4.4% GDP expansion in Q3 2025. Despite risks stemming from potential trade wars

Basic

US Inflation Report & BLS CPI Forecast - December 2025

Executive Summary The U.S. economy entered late 2025 with signs of robust growth, as Q3 GDP expanded at a strong 4.3% annualized pace. However, growth is expected to moderate in early 2026 amid a tightening labor market, slowing wage growth, and disruptions related to the recent government shutdown.

Macro News

Truflation and the Chainlink Runtime Environment Power the QuantAMM Bitcoin BTF

Disclaimer: This article does not provide financial advice. Past performance doesnt predict future performance. Please perform necessary due diligence and do your own research. Real-time inflation data has become one of the most valuable leading indicators for understanding macroeconomic cycles. At Truflation, we’ve spent years building a decentralized data

Exclusive

Truflation: US Monthly Inflation Report – October 2025

Executive Summary As a result of the longest U.S. government shutdown, much of the economic data typically released by government agencies has been delayed or even cancelled, deepening the uncertainty faced by the Federal Reserve, economists, and investors alike.  The lack of official reports that normally guide policymakers on

Exclusive

Truflation: US Monthly Inflation Report – October 2025

Executive Summary As a result of the longest U.S. government shutdown, much of the economic data typically released by government agencies has been delayed or even cancelled, deepening the uncertainty faced by the Federal Reserve, economists, and investors alike.  The lack of official reports that normally guide policymakers on

Truflation Public Peek: U.S. Monthly Inflation – September 2025

The following is a public peek at our exclusive 11-page in-depth monthly Truflation CPI update presented to our premium subscribers on Oct 13th, 2025, available by subscription, here. Executive Summary The U.S. economy expanded at a faster pace than expected pace in Q2 2025, with GDP revised upward to

Basic

Truflation: US Monthly Inflation Report – September 2025

Executive Summary The U.S. economy expanded at a faster pace than expected pace in Q2 2025, with GDP revised upward to 3.8% from the prior estimate of 3.3%. This marks the strongest quarterly growth in nearly two years. This surprise upside was primarily driven by a sharp

Exclusive

Truflation: US Monthly Inflation Report – September 2025

Executive Summary The U.S. economy expanded at a faster pace than expected pace in Q2 2025, with GDP revised upward to 3.8% from the prior estimate of 3.3%. This marks the strongest quarterly growth in nearly two years. This surprise upside was primarily driven by a sharp

Truflation Public Peek: U.S. Monthly Inflation – August 2025

The following is a public peek at our exclusive 13-page in-depth monthly Truflation CPI update, available by subscription, here. Executive Summary The US economy grew at a faster pace than initially estimated in the second quarter of the year, with GDP revised up to 3.3% from the preliminary 3.